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基于混合驱动与梯度优化的模糊宽度模型预测控制

田昊 汤健 余文 乔俊飞

田昊, 汤健, 余文, 乔俊飞. 基于混合驱动与梯度优化的模糊宽度模型预测控制. 自动化学报, 2026, 52(3): 1−29 doi: 10.16383/j.aas.c250195
引用本文: 田昊, 汤健, 余文, 乔俊飞. 基于混合驱动与梯度优化的模糊宽度模型预测控制. 自动化学报, 2026, 52(3): 1−29 doi: 10.16383/j.aas.c250195
Tian Hao, Tang Jian, Yu Wen, Qiao Jun-Fei. Fuzzy broad model predictive control based on hybrid-driven and gradient optimization. Acta Automatica Sinica, 2026, 52(3): 1−29 doi: 10.16383/j.aas.c250195
Citation: Tian Hao, Tang Jian, Yu Wen, Qiao Jun-Fei. Fuzzy broad model predictive control based on hybrid-driven and gradient optimization. Acta Automatica Sinica, 2026, 52(3): 1−29 doi: 10.16383/j.aas.c250195

基于混合驱动与梯度优化的模糊宽度模型预测控制

doi: 10.16383/j.aas.c250195 cstr: 32138.14.j.aas.c250195
基金项目: 新一代人工智能国家科技重大专项(2021ZD0112302)资助
详细信息
    作者简介:

    田昊:北京工业大学信息科学技术学院硕士研究生. 2022年获得山东工商大学学士学位. 主要研究方向为城市固废焚烧炉温智能控制

    汤健:北京工业大学信息科学技术学院教授. 2012年获得东北大学博士学位. 主要研究方向为小样本数据机器学习, 复杂工业过程智能建模与控制和城市固废焚烧数字孪生. 本文通信作者

    余文:墨西哥国立理工学院自动控制系教授. 1995年获得东北大学博士学位. 主要研究方向为智能建模与控制

    乔俊飞:北京工业大学信息科学技术学院教授. 1998年获得东北大学博士学位. 主要研究方向为神经网络, 智能系统和复杂工业过程建模与最优控制

Fuzzy Broad Model Predictive Control Based on Hybrid-driven and Gradient Optimization

Funds: Supported by National Science and Technology Major Project of China (973 Program) (2021ZD0112302)
More Information
    Author Bio:

    TIAN Hao Master student at the School of Information Science and Technology, Beijing University of Technology. He received his bachelor degree from Shandong Technology and Business University in 2022. His main research interest is intelligent control of furnace temperature in municipal solid waste incineration

    TANG Jian Professor at the School of Information Science and Technology, Beijing University of Technology. He received his Ph.D. degree from Northeastern University in 2012. His research interests include machine learning with small samples, intelligent modeling and control of complex industrial processes, and digital twin for municipal solid waste incineration. Corresponding author of this paper

    YU Wen Professor in the Department of Automatic Control, National Polytechnic Institute México. He received his Ph.D. degree from Northeastern University in 1995. His research interests include intelligent modeling and control

    QIAO Jun-Fei Professor at the School of Information Science and Technology, Beijing University of Technology. He received his Ph.D. degree from Northeastern University in 1998. His research interests include neural networks, intelligent systems, and modeling and optimal control of complex industrial processes

  • 摘要: 模型预测控制(MPC)是广泛应用于各类工业过程的先进过程控制策略. 深度神经网络能够提升传统MPC性能, 但存在计算复杂度高和过拟合风险. 在MPC中采用常规粒子群优化(PSO)虽具备全局搜索能力, 却因计算消耗和初始解依赖等问题难以满足实时控制需求. 针对上述问题, 提出基于知识−数据驱动和梯度PSO的模糊宽度MPC. 首先, 采用区间二型模糊宽度学习系统构建预测模型, 增强非线性建模和不确定性处理能力. 其次, 在滚动优化过程中, 引入梯度下降与PSO的协同策略, 以确保快速收敛并提升全局搜索性能, 同时利用系统样本数据库和粒子档案数据库构建知识−数据驱动的代理模型以降低计算消耗. 最后, 设计操纵变量基线求解策略以提高控制输出的安全性和可靠性. 通过典型非线性系统和实际城市固废焚烧过程控制的仿真实验, 验证了所提方法的有效性.
  • 图  1  MPC的滚动优化过程

    Fig.  1  Rolling optimization process of MPC

    图  2  KDD-GPSO-FBMPC控制策略图

    Fig.  2  KDD-GPSO-FBMPC control strategy diagram

    图  3  知识−数据驱动过程

    Fig.  3  The knowledge-data-driven process

    图  4  数值仿真实验中预测模型的拟合曲线图

    Fig.  4  Fitting curve diagram of the prediction model in the numerical simulation experiment

    图  5  数值仿真实验中案例1的跟踪、误差与MV曲线

    Fig.  5  Tracking, error and MV curves of case 1 in the numerical simulation experiment

    图  6  数值仿真实验中案例1和案例2的KDD模型拟合曲线

    Fig.  6  KDD model fitting curves of case 1 and case 2 in the numerical simulation experiment

    图  7  数值仿真实验中案例1和案例2的目标函数下降曲线

    Fig.  7  Objective function descent curves of case 1 and case 2 in the numerical simulation experiment

    图  8  数值仿真实验中案例2的跟踪、误差与MV曲线

    Fig.  8  Tracking, error and MV curves of case 2 in the numerical simulation experiment

    图  9  典型MSWI过程流程图

    Fig.  9  Typical MSWI process flow chart

    图  10  MSWI过程预测模型拟合曲线对比

    Fig.  10  Comparison of fitting curves of MSWI process prediction models

    图  11  MSWI过程案例3的跟踪、误差与MV曲线

    Fig.  11  Tracking, error and MV curves of case 3 in MSWI process

    图  14  MSWI过程案例4的跟踪、误差与MV曲线

    Fig.  14  Tracking, error and MV curves of case 4 in MSWI process

    图  12  MSWI过程案例3与案例4的KDD模型的拟合曲线

    Fig.  12  Fitting curves of KDD model of case 3 and case 4 in MSWI process

    图  13  MSWI过程案例3与案例4的目标函数下降曲线

    Fig.  13  Objective function descent curves of case 3 and case 4 in MSWI process

    图  16  PSO和GPSO的收敛特性对比

    Fig.  16  Comparison of convergence characteristics between PSO and GPSO

    图  15  跟踪曲线和目标函数曲线

    Fig.  15  Tracking curves and objective function curves

    图  17  KDD-GPSO-FBMPC算法超参数分析曲线

    Fig.  17  KDD-GPSO-FBMPC algorithm hyperparameter analysis curves

    B1  操纵变量与被控变量的互相关图

    B1  Cross-correlation plots between manipulated variable and controlled variable

    B2  变量直方图及其核密度估计

    B2  Histogram of variable with kernel density estimation

    B3  残差分析图

    B3  Residual analysis plots

    B4  基于 IQR 的异常值分析图

    B4  IQR-based outlier analysis plot

    表  1  文献中的系统知识和粒子分布知识对比

    Table  1  Comparison of system knowledge and particle distribution knowledge in literature

    文献 知识描述对象 知识来源 知识描述内容与应用领域 性能提升
    [44] 非线性控制系统 控制系统的源域数据 知识用于构建基于FNN的知识驱动模型, 以补充数据驱动模型的网络结构; 污水处理过程最优控制 从知识驱动模型中提取结构知识, 以补充数据驱动模型的网络结构信息, 解决在线数据不足的问题
    [45] 系统的历史操作信息 知识用于自适应初始化策略, 以动态预设KDD优化控制的参数, 提高对非线性系统变化的适应性; 污水处理过程最优控制 引入知识后, 算法能够更快地响应系统操作需求的变化, 提高了系统的动态优化能力和响应速度
    [46] 控制系统的专家操作经验 知识包括多个操作模型和子控制器, 通过数据共享和知识驱动机制改善控制精度; 污水处理过程切换控制 引入知识后, 算法能够更有效地处理信息不足的问题, 提高了控制的准确性和系统的稳定性
    [47] 专家经验和操作规则 知识用于指导控制器采取补救措施, 消除污泥膨胀;污水处理过程污泥膨胀的自愈控制 引入知识后, 算法能够及时准确地调节操作变量, 实现从污泥膨胀中的自我恢复与安全稳定运行
    [48] 已学习的多任务自回归模型 从已建模的自回归模型中提取高炉过程的非线性动态; 工业高炉炼铁过程中的熔铁、质量指数的在线估计和控制 通过从已建模的自回归模型中提取知识, 提高新模型对数据波动的鲁棒性、提高模型的准确性和控制性能
    [49] 专家经验、领域知识、操作知识 与工业实际过程数据结合, 设计混合智能高级反馈控制方法; 矿物加工操作中的磨矿回路控制 通过数据与知识结合可以很容易地构建出复杂的工业过程以及智能控制方法的设计
    [40] PSO优化算法 多目标的全局最优粒子的当前和历史非支配解的分布信息 多目标粒子群优化算法中全局最优值的选择; 基准函数和锌电解优化问题 粒子分布知识的引入为多目标PSO算法在基准函数和锌电解优化问题上的性能进行了显著改进
    [37] 精英粒子的当前和历史位置信息 基于FNN的知识提取方法、知识评估机制和知识重构策略; 软件项目调度、路径规划、污水工业过程 知识的引入提高了粒子的适应动态环境能力以及种群的搜索性能
    [50] 不同任务间的最优粒子的当前和历史位置信息 不同任务之间决策空间维度; 不同情况下的知识转移问题、基准优化问题与污水处理工程 通过知识迁移可以并行解决多个优化问题, 利用任务之间的知识转移提高优化效率
    [51] 目标空间和决策空间 在知识迁移中识别和度量不利于种群进化的知识; 特征选择、符号回归等基准优化问题 对不利于种群的知识进行处理, 在抑制负迁移和提高收敛性能方面作用显著
    下载: 导出CSV

    表  2  数值仿真实验中预测模型性能指标对比

    Table  2  Comparison of performance indicators of the prediction models in the numerical simulation experiment

    模型 数据集 RMSE MAE R2
    IT2FBLS 训练集 $ 1.666\;8\times10^{-2} $ $ 1.094\;6\times10^{-2} $ $ 9.976\;5\times10^{-1} $
    验证集 $ 1.762\;3\times10^{-2} $ $ 1.156\;0\times10^{-2} $ $ 9.966\;0\times10^{-1} $
    测试集 $ 2.452\;1\times10^{-2} $ $ 1.256\;2\times10^{-2} $ $ 9.941\;8\times10^{-1} $
    FBLS 训练集 $ 4.741\;8\times10^{-2} $ $ 2.943\;7\times10^{-2} $ $ 9.809\;8\times10^{-1} $
    验证集 $ 5.868\;7\times10^{-2} $ $ 3.335\;2\times10^{-2} $ $ 9.622\;8\times10^{-1} $
    测试集 $ 7.528\;9\times10^{-2} $ $ 3.931\;3\times10^{-2} $ $ 9.451\;4\times10^{-1} $
    IT2FNN 训练集 $ 8.537\;3\times10^{-2} $ $ 4.145\;0\times10^{-2} $ $ 9.383\;5\times10^{-1} $
    验证集 $ 6.784\;8\times10^{-2} $ $ 3.320\;7\times10^{-2} $ $ 9.495\;9\times10^{-1} $
    测试集 $ 1.143\;2\times10^{-1} $ $ 5.070\;7\times10^{-2} $ $ 8.735\;2\times10^{-1} $
    FNN 训练集 $ 9.015\;2\times10^{-2} $ $ 4.017\;9\times10^{-2} $ $ 9.312\;6\times10^{-1} $
    验证集 $ 6.940\;9\times10^{-2} $ $ 2.980\;5\times10^{-2} $ $ 9.472\;4\times10^{-1} $
    测试集 $ 1.097\;2\times10^{-1} $ $ 4.741\;6\times10^{-2} $ $ 8.834\;9\times10^{-1} $
    下载: 导出CSV

    表  3  数值仿真实验中案例1和案例2的控制性能指标对比

    Table  3  Comparison of control performance indicators of case 1 and case 2 in the numerical simulation experiment

    案例 控制器 ITSE IAE Devmax 时间 (s)
    案例1 PID 8.2000 × 10−3 3.6100 × 10−2 7.0000 × 10−1 6.1900 × 10−1
    GD-IT2FBLS-MPC 3.8000 × 10−3 3.1500 × 10−2 7.0000 × 10−1 4.8416 × 100
    KDD-GPSO-FBMPC 2.1000 × 10−3 2.6503 × 10−2 7.0000 × 10−1 1.3651 × 101
    案例2 PID 1.1800 × 10−2 3.8400 × 10−2 7.0000 × 10−1 1.3140 × 100
    GD-IT2FBLS-MPC 7.8000 × 10−3 2.7300 × 10−2 7.0000 × 10−1 9.5155 × 100
    KDD-GPSO-FBMPC 4.9000 × 10−3 2.2367 × 10−2 7.0000 × 10−1 2.7572 × 101
    下载: 导出CSV

    表  4  MSWI过程预测模型指标对比

    Table  4  Comparison of indicators of MSWI process prediction models

    模型 数据集 RMSE MAE R2
    IT2FBLS 训练集 3.2470 × 100 2.5153 × 100 9.7098 × 10−1
    验证集 3.2974 × 100 2.5141 × 100 9.7013 × 10−1
    测试集 3.4554 × 100 2.5692 × 100 9.6730 × 10−1
    FBLS 训练集 4.1178 × 102 3.1869 × 100 9.5333 × 10−1
    验证集 4.0783 × 100 3.2040 × 100 9.5431 × 10−1
    测试集 4.2255 × 100 3.3709 × 100 9.5111 × 10−1
    IT2FNN 训练集 4.6324 × 100 3.5122 × 100 9.4093 × 10−1
    验证集 4.6063 × 100 3.4569 × 100 9.4172 × 10−1
    测试集 4.8139 × 100 3.6823 × 100 9.3654 × 10−1
    FNN 训练集 5.9173 × 100 4.8588 × 100 9.0362 × 10−1
    验证集 5.7912 × 100 4.7234 × 100 9.0787 × 10−1
    测试集 5.9673 × 100 4.8703 × 100 9.0249 × 10−1
    下载: 导出CSV

    表  5  MSWI过程案例3与案例4的性能指标对比

    Table  5  Performance indicators comparison of case 3 and case 4 in MSWI process

    案例 控制器 ITSE IAE Devmax 时间 (s)
    案例3 BO-IT2FNNC 2.8575 × 10−2 3.2800 × 10−1 3.9205 × 100 8.4221 × 101
    CETFNMC 2.7355 × 10−2 3.2389 × 10−1 1.7313 × 100 4.4747 × 10−1
    ET-OLFNRC 2.3614 × 10−2 2.4989 × 10−1 1.7313 × 100 4.5439 × 10−1
    AMPC 2.6500 × 10−2 2.4801 × 10−1 1.6234 × 100 1.0777 × 101
    KDD-GPSO-FBMPC 1.7213 × 10−2 1.7063 × 10−1 1.5438 × 100 3.4101 × 101
    案例4 BO-IT2FNNC 4.3274 × 100 5.4350 × 10−1 9.9399 × 100 2.7355 × 101
    CETFNMC 4.0002 × 100 5.5863 × 10−1 9.8047 × 100 1.5080 × 101
    ET-OLFNRC 4.0314 × 100 5.5171 × 10−1 9.8612 × 100 1.5170 × 101
    AMPC 3.1669 × 100 5.4212 × 10−1 6.5438 × 100 3.8423 × 101
    KDD-GPSO-FBMPC 2.3457 × 100 4.3130 × 10−1 6.5438 × 100 1.8524 × 102
    下载: 导出CSV

    表  7  GPSO和PSO的收敛特性对比

    Table  7  Comparison of convergence characteristics between GPSO and PSO

    条件 $J_{\text{mean}}(t)$ $J_{\text{max}}(t)$ $J_{\text{min}}(t)$ 时间 (s)
    实验a 50 s PSO (5.2533 $\pm$ 0.0321) × 10−4 5.2878 × 10−4 5.0412 × 10−4
    GPSO (3.8422 $\pm$ 0.0212) × 10−4 4.0951 × 10−4 3.6325 × 10−4
    实验b $e=0.5$ PSO (3.1542 $\pm$ 0.0092) × 10−4 3.2423 × 10−4 3.0423 × 10−2 87
    GPSO (3.1389 $\pm$ 0.0013) × 10−4 3.2254 × 10−4 3.0544 × 10−2 22
    下载: 导出CSV

    表  6  消融实验的性能指标对比

    Table  6  Comparison of performance indicators of ablation experiments

    控制器 ITSE IAE Devmax 时间 (s) BTF
    KDD-GPSO-NNMPC 2.5915 × 10−2 3.7724 × 10−1 1.9193 × 100 1.9933 × 101 11
    KDD-PSO-FBMPC 2.1640 × 10−2 2.9156 × 10−1 1.5438 × 100 4.8757 × 101 36
    KDD-GD-FBMPC 3.0979 × 10−2 2.9064 × 10−1 1.5438 × 100 4.2719 × 100
    GPSO-FBMPC 1.3500 × 10−2 2.3275 × 10−1 1.6534 × 100 4.8139 × 102 13
    KDD-GPSO-FBMPC-3 2.8987 × 10−2 2.5930 × 10−1 1.6607 × 100 2.4587 × 101
    KDD-GPSO-FBMPC-2 2.4870 × 10−2 2.3819 × 10−1 1.5438 × 100 2.6560 × 101
    KDD-GPSO-FBMPC 4.8272 × 10−3 1.7440 × 10−1 1.5438 × 100 2.6893 × 101 6
    下载: 导出CSV
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    Eiben A E, Smith J E. Introduction to Evolutionary Computing. Beijing: National Defense Industry Press, 2021.
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