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基于潜在特征选择性集成建模的二噁英排放浓度软测量

汤健 乔俊飞 郭子豪

汤健, 乔俊飞, 郭子豪. 基于潜在特征选择性集成建模的二噁英排放浓度软测量. 自动化学报, 2022, 48(1): 223−238 doi: 10.16383/j.aas.c190254
引用本文: 汤健, 乔俊飞, 郭子豪. 基于潜在特征选择性集成建模的二噁英排放浓度软测量. 自动化学报, 2022, 48(1): 223−238 doi: 10.16383/j.aas.c190254
Tang Jian, Qiao Jun-Fei, Guo Zi-Hao. Dioxin emission concentration soft measurement based on multi-source latent feature selective ensemble modeling for municipal solid waste incineration process. Acta Automatica Sinica, 2022, 48(1): 223−238 doi: 10.16383/j.aas.c190254
Citation: Tang Jian, Qiao Jun-Fei, Guo Zi-Hao. Dioxin emission concentration soft measurement based on multi-source latent feature selective ensemble modeling for municipal solid waste incineration process. Acta Automatica Sinica, 2022, 48(1): 223−238 doi: 10.16383/j.aas.c190254

基于潜在特征选择性集成建模的二噁英排放浓度软测量

doi: 10.16383/j.aas.c190254
基金项目: 国家自然科学基金 (62073006, 62021003), 北京市自然科学基金 (4212032, 4192009), 科学技术部国家重点研发计划(2018YFC1900800-5), 矿冶过程自动控制技术国家(北京市)重点实验室(BGRIMM-KZSKL-2020-02)资助
详细信息
    作者简介:

    汤健:北京工业大学教授. 主要研究方向为小样本数据建模, 城市固废处理过程智能控制. 本文通信作者. E-mail: freeflytang@bjut.edu.cn

    乔俊飞:北京工业大学信息学部教授. 主要研究方向为污水处理过程智能控制, 神经网络结构设计与优化. E-mail: junfeq@bjut.edu.cn

    郭子豪:北京工业大学信息学部硕士研究生. 主要研究方向为高维小样本数据的特征建模, 固废处理过程难测参数软测量. E-mail: miller94@163.com

Dioxin Emission Concentration Soft Measurement Based on Multi-source Latent Feature Selective Ensemble Modeling for Municipal Solid Waste Incineration Process

Funds: Supported by National Natural Science Foundation of China (62073006, 62021003),Beijing Natural Science Foundation (4212032,4192009), National Key Research and Development Program of the Ministry of Science and Technology (2018YFC1900800-5), and Beijing Key Laboratory of Process Automation in Mining and Metallurgy (BGRIMM-KZSKL-2020-02)
More Information
    Author Bio:

    TANG Jian Professor at Beijing University of Technology. His research interest covers small sample data modeling and intelligent control of municipal solid waste treatment process. Corresponding author of this paper

    QIAO Jun-Fei Professor at the Faculty of Information Technology, Beijing University of Technology. His research interest covers intelligent control of wastewater treatment process, and structure design and optimization of neural networks

    GUO Zi-Hao Master student at the Faculty of Information Technology, Beijing University of Technology. His research interest covers feature modeling of high-dimensional small sample data and soft measurement of difficulty-to-measure parameters in municipal solid waste treatment process

  • 摘要: 二噁英(Dioxin,DXN)是导致城市固废焚烧(Municipal solid waste incineration, MSWI)建厂存在“邻避现象”的主要原因之一. 工业现场多采用离线化验手段检测DXN浓度, 难以满足污染物减排控制的需求. 针对上述问题, 本文提出了基于潜在特征选择性集成(Selective ensemble, SEN)建模的DXN排放浓度软测量方法. 首先, 采用主元分析(Principal component analysis, PCA)分别提取依据工艺阶段子系统及全流程系统过程变量的潜在特征, 并依据预设贡献率阈值进行特征初选; 接着, 采用互信息(Mutual information, MI)度量初选特征与DXN间的相关性, 并自适应确定再选的上下限及阈值; 最后, 采用具有超参数自适应选择机制的最小二乘−支持向量机(Least squares — support vector machine, LS-SVM)算法建立多源特征的候选子模型, 基于分支定界(Branch and bound, BB)优化和预测误差信息熵加权算法进行集成子模型的优化选择和加权组合, 进而得到软测量模型. 基于某MSWI焚烧厂DXN检测数据仿真验证了所提方法的有效性.
    1)  收稿日期 2019-03-27 录用日期 2019-06-27 Manuscript received March 27, 2019; accepted June 27, 2019 国家自然科学基金 (62073006, 62021003), 北京市自然科学基金 (4212032, 4192009), 科学技术部国家重点研发计划(2018YFC1900800-5), 矿冶过程自动控制技术国家(北京市)重点实验室(BGRIMM-KZSKL-2020-02)资助 Supported by National Natural Science Foundation of China (62073006, 62021003), Beijing Natural Science Foundation (4212032, 4192009), National Key Research and Development Program of the Ministry of Science and Technology (2018YFC1900800-5),
    2)  and Beijing Key Laboratory of Process Automation in Mining and Metallurgy (BGRIMM-KZSKL-2020-02) 本文责任编委 刘艳军 Recommended by Associate Editor LIU Yan-Jun 1. 北京工业大学信息学部 北京 100124 2. 计算智能与智能系统北京市重点实验室 北京 100124 1. Faculty of Information Technology, Beijing University of Technology, Beijing 100124 2. Beijing Key Laboratory of Computational Intelligence and Intelligent System, Beijing 100124
  • 图  1  基于DXN视角的MSWI过程描述

    Fig.  1  MSWI process description based on DXN perspective

    图  2  基于潜在特征SEN建模的DXN排放浓度软测量策略

    Fig.  2  Soft sensing strategy of DXN emission concentration based on latent feature SEN modeling

    图  3  不同功能子系统的前6个PC的累积贡献率

    Fig.  3  Cumulative contribution rate of the first six PCs of different functional subsystems

    图  4  全部子系统及MSWI全流程系统的初选潜在特征与DXN间的MI值

    Fig.  4  MI value between DXN and primary potential characteristics of all subsystems and MSWI whole process systems

    图  5  子模型超参数自适应寻优的第1次和第2次的曲线

    Fig.  5  Curves of the 1st and 2nd curves for adaptive hyperparametric optimization of submodels

    表  1  本文中的公式符号及其说明汇总表

    Table  1  Summary of formula symbols and their explanations in this paper

    符号含义符号含义
    ${ {{\boldsymbol{y}}} }$DXN 排放浓度软测量模型的真值${\boldsymbol{\hat y} }$DXN排放浓度软测量模型的预测输出
    $N$建模样本数量$M$输入过程变量数量
    ${ {{\boldsymbol{X}}} }$MSWI 全流程系统的输入数据${\boldsymbol{X} }_{}^i$第$i$个子系统的输入数据
    ${ {{\boldsymbol{I}} - 1} }$MSWI 全流程系统划分子系统个数$M_{}^i$第$i$个子系统包含的过程变量个数
    ${ {{\boldsymbol{Z}}} }_{ {\rm{FeAll} } }^i$第$i$个子系统的过程变量采用PCA提取的全部潜在特征$M_{{\rm{FeAll}}}^i$第$i$个子系统的过程变量采用PCA提取的全部潜在特征的数量
    ${ {{\boldsymbol{Z}}} }_{ {\rm{FeSe1st} } }^i$第$i$个子系统的初选潜在特征${\theta _{{\rm{Contri}}}}$对全部潜在特征进行初选的设定阈值
    $M_{{\rm{FeSe1st}}}^i$第$i$个子系统初选潜在特征的数量$M_{{\rm{FeSe2nd}}}^i$第$i$个子系统再选潜在特征的数量
    ${ {{\boldsymbol{Z}}} }_{ {\rm{FeSe2nd} } }^i$第$i$个子系统的再选潜在特征${\theta _{{\rm{MI}}}}$再选潜在特征的选择阈值${\theta _{{\rm{MI}}}}$
    ($K_{{\rm{er}}}^i$, $R_{{\rm{eg}}}^i$)第$i$个子模型的核参数和正则化参数 , 即超参数对$i$第$i$个子模型的预测输出
    ${ {{\boldsymbol{t}}} }_{m_{ {\rm{FeAll} } }^i}^i$第$i$个子系统的第$m_{ {\rm{FeAll} } }^i$个主元的得分向量${ {{\boldsymbol{p}}} }_{m_{ {\rm{FeAll} } }^i}^ii$第$i$个子系统的第$m_{ {\rm{FeAll} } }^i$个主元的载荷向量
    ${ {{\boldsymbol{T}}} }_{}^i$第$i$个子系统的得分矩阵${\boldsymbol{P}}^i $第$i$个子系统的载荷矩阵
    $\lambda _{m_{{\rm{FeAll}}}^i}^i$第$i$个子系统的第$m_{ {\rm{FeAll} } }^i$个载荷向量${\boldsymbol{p} }_{m_{ {\rm{FeAll} } }^i}^i$相对应的特征值$\theta _{m_{{\rm{FeAll}}}^i}^i$第$i$个子系统的第$m_{ {\rm{FeAll} } }^i$个潜在特征的贡献率
    $\xi _{m_{{\rm{FeAll}}}^i}^i$第$i$个子系统的第$m_{ {\rm{FeAll} } }^i$个潜在特征是否被选中的标记值$\xi _{{\rm{MI}}}^{m_{{\rm{FeSelst}}}^i}$第$i$个子系统的初选潜在特征${\boldsymbol{z} }_{m_{ {\rm{FeSelst} } }^i}^i$与DXN排放浓度间的MI值
    $\theta _{{\rm{Contri}}}^{{\rm{Uplimit}}}$潜在特征再选阈值的上限值$\theta _{{\rm{Contri}}}^{{\rm{Downlimit}}}$潜在特征再选阈值的下限值
    $\theta _{{\rm{Contri}}}^{{\rm{Step}}}$潜在特征再选阈值的固定步长$\beta _{m_{{\rm{FeSe1st}}}^i}^i$第$i$个子系统的第$m_{ {\rm{FeSe1st} } }^i$个初选潜在特征是否被选中的标记值
    ${ { {{\boldsymbol{w}}} }^i}$第$i$个子模型的权重系数${b^i}$第$i$个子模型的偏置系数
    ${{\bf{\beta }}^i}$第$i$个子模型的拉格朗日算子向量${{\bf{\zeta }}^i}$第$i$个子模型的预测误差向量
    $M_{{\rm{para}}}^{}$候选超参数矩阵$\{ K_{{\rm{er}}}^i,R_{{\rm{eg}}}^i\} $第$i$个子模型在$M_{{\rm{para}}}^{}$中自适应选择的超参数对
    $K$候选核参数数量$R$候选惩罚参数数量
    $J = K \times R$超参数矩阵中的超参数对的数量$\begin{array}{l}\{ {(K_{{\rm{er}}}^{{\rm{initial}}})^i}, {(R_{{\rm{eg}}}^{{\rm{initial}}})^i}\}\end{array}$第$i$个子模型在采用网格搜索策略在矩阵$M_{{\rm{para}}}^{}$中初选的超参数对
    ${({ {{\boldsymbol{K}}} }_{ {\rm{er} } }^{ {\rm{vector} } })^i}$依据初选超参数对计算的新候选核参数向量${({ {{\boldsymbol{R}}} }_{ {\rm{eg} } }^{ {\rm{vector} } })^i}$依据初选超参数对计算的新候选惩罚参数向量
    ${N_{{\rm{ker}}}}$新候选核参数的数量${N_{{\rm{reg}}}}$新候选惩罚参数的数量
    $k_{{\rm{supara}}}^{{\rm{down}}}$,$k_{{\rm{supara}}}^{{\rm{up}}}$确定超参数向量的收缩和扩放因子${f^i}( \cdot )$第$i$个子模型
    ${f^{{i_{{\rm{sel}}}}}}( \cdot )$第${i_{ {\rm{sel} } } }$个集成子模型$w_{{i_{{\rm{sel}}}}}^{}$第${i_{ {\rm{sel} } } }$个集成子模型的加权系数
    ${\hat y_{{i_{{\rm{sel}}}}}}$第${i_{ {\rm{sel} } } }$个集成子模型的预测值$K_{{\rm{er}}}^{{i_{{\rm{sel}}}}}$,$R_{{\rm{eg}}}^{{i_{{\rm{sel}}}}}$第${i_{ {\rm{sel} } } }$个集成子模型的超参数
    ${(\hat y_{{i_{{\rm{sel}}}}}^{})_n}$第$n$个样本基于第${i_{ {\rm{sel} } } }$个集成子模型的预测值${(e_{{i_{{\rm{sel}}}}}^{})_n}$第$n$个样本基于第${i_{ {\rm{sel} } } }$个集成子模型的相对预测误差
    $E_{{i_{{\rm{sel}}}}}^{}$第${i_{ {\rm{sel} } } }$个集成子模型的预测误差信息熵
    下载: 导出CSV

    表  2  初选潜在特征的数量及其贡献率

    Table  2  Number of the primary selected latent feature and their contribution ratio

    子系统代号IncineratorBoilerFlue gasSteamStackCommonMSWI
    特征编号129.9070.9954.5763.3442.9146.3343.58
    221.7512.6610.4216.5618.0614.1013.40
    311.146.0588.9017.69117.308.6538.761
    46.9525.0147.1463.90612.656.7985.921
    56.6353.0365.0412.0307.2114.4834.822
    65.0751.3564.2691.5331.8544.2213.246
    73.7923.2371.1843.5013.071
    83.2082.5841.0072.8422.919
    92.7841.1902.1162.444
    101.8461.4942.138
    111.5141.2561.911
    121.2831.1641.731
    131.1291.481
    141.344
    151.068
    初选潜在特征数量1369561215
    原始过程变量数量791419536115286
    下载: 导出CSV

    表  3  全部子系统及MSWI全流程系统初选潜在特征MI值的极值统计表

    Table  3  Extremum statistical table of potential characteristic MI values for primary selection latent feature of all Subsystems and MSWI whole process system

    子系统最大值集合 最小值集合
    MI 值贡献率 (%)PC 编号MI 值贡献率 (%)PC 编号
    Incinerator0.85591.51411 0.681429.901
    Boiler0.80193.03650.552770.991
    Flue gas0.831610.4220.608454.571
    Steam0.82497.69130.605963.341
    Stack0.806717.3030.718242.911
    Common0.86134.22160.540046.331
    MSWI0.78824.82250.442943.581
    下载: 导出CSV

    表  4  再选潜在特征数量和MI值统计表

    Table  4  Statistical table of re-selected latent feature's number and MI value

    子系统数量MI值
    Incinerator50.79520.82670.82580.85590.8088
    Boiler20.80190.7952
    Flue gas10.8316
    Steam30.82490.80220.8019
    Stack20.79520.8067
    Common60.80190.86130.80880.79040.83830.8316
    MSWI10.7882
    下载: 导出CSV

    表  5  不同建模方法统计结果

    Table  5  Statistical results of different modeling methods

    方法过程变量数量加权方法RMSE参数 (LV/PC) $( K_{ {\rm{er} } }^{},R_{ {\rm{eg} } }^{})$备注
    文献 [22]120.08869 ± 0.3000(—) (—)单模型, RWNN
    文献 [24]80.02695(—) (21, 21)单模型, SVM
    文献 [37]6AWF0.02306(—) (0.1, 1; 400, 6400; 12800,
    25600; 51200, 102400)
    SEN, 基于多核参数
    PLS2860.01790(13) (—)单模型, MSWI系统
    PCA-LS-SVM2860.01563(18) (36240, 83904)单模型, MSWI系统
    集成建模 (EN)286PLS0.01420(5, 2, 1, 3, 2, 6, 1) (109, 109; 10000,
    25.75; 5.950, 0.0595; 30.70, 2.080;
    5.950, 0.5950; 1520800, 22816;
    1362400, 158.5)
    PCA-MI-LSSVM子模型, EN,
    全部子模型
    AWF0.01851
    Entropy0.01625
    选择性集成建模(SEN) (本文方法)286 (104)BB-AWF0.01348(5, 1, 2) (109, 109; 5.950, 0.0595; 5.950, 0.5950)PCA-MI-LSSVM子模型, SEN, Incinerator, Flue gas,
    Stack共3个子模型
    BB-Entropy0.01332
    下载: 导出CSV
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出版历程
  • 收稿日期:  2019-03-27
  • 录用日期:  2019-06-27
  • 网络出版日期:  2021-10-21
  • 刊出日期:  2022-01-25

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