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一类基于非线性PCA和深度置信网络的混合分类器及其在PM2.5浓度预测和影响因素诊断中的应用

高月 宿翀 李宏光

高月, 宿翀, 李宏光. 一类基于非线性PCA和深度置信网络的混合分类器及其在PM2.5浓度预测和影响因素诊断中的应用. 自动化学报, 2018, 44(2): 318-329. doi: 10.16383/j.aas.2018.c160045
引用本文: 高月, 宿翀, 李宏光. 一类基于非线性PCA和深度置信网络的混合分类器及其在PM2.5浓度预测和影响因素诊断中的应用. 自动化学报, 2018, 44(2): 318-329. doi: 10.16383/j.aas.2018.c160045
GAO Yue, SU Chong, LI Hong-Guang. A Kind of Deep Belief Networks Based on Nonlinear Features Extraction with Application to PM2.5 Concentration Prediction and Diagnosis. ACTA AUTOMATICA SINICA, 2018, 44(2): 318-329. doi: 10.16383/j.aas.2018.c160045
Citation: GAO Yue, SU Chong, LI Hong-Guang. A Kind of Deep Belief Networks Based on Nonlinear Features Extraction with Application to PM2.5 Concentration Prediction and Diagnosis. ACTA AUTOMATICA SINICA, 2018, 44(2): 318-329. doi: 10.16383/j.aas.2018.c160045

一类基于非线性PCA和深度置信网络的混合分类器及其在PM2.5浓度预测和影响因素诊断中的应用

doi: 10.16383/j.aas.2018.c160045
基金项目: 

国家自然科学基金 61603023

中国科学院复杂系统管理与控制国家重点实验室开放课题 20150103

北京市优秀人才资助项目 2015000020124G041

详细信息
    作者简介:

    高月  北京化工大学信息学院硕士研究生.主要研究方向为智能决策.E-mail:18810255106@163.com

    李宏光  北京化工大学信息学院教授.主要研究方向为化工过程的建模、控制和优化.E-mail:lihg@mail.buct.edu.cn

    通讯作者:

    宿翀  北京化工大学信息学院副教授.主要研究方向为人工智能, 情感计算和智能医疗.本文通信作者.E-mail:suchong@mail.buct.edu.cn

A Kind of Deep Belief Networks Based on Nonlinear Features Extraction with Application to PM2.5 Concentration Prediction and Diagnosis

Funds: 

National Natural Science Foundation of China 61603023

the Open Research Project under Grant from the SKLMCCS 20150103

Beijing Outstanding Talent Training Project 2015000020124G041

More Information
    Author Bio:

     Master student in Beijing University of Chemical Technology. Her main research interest is intelligent decision making

     Professor in Beijing University of Chemical Technology. His research interest covers modeling, control and optimization of chemical process as well as computer based intelligent control for industrial plants

    Corresponding author: SU Chong  Associate professor in Beijing University of Chemical Technology. His research interest covers intelligent applications, affect computing and smart medicine. Corresponding author of this paper
  • 摘要: 传统的深度置信网络(Deep brief networks,DBN)在建立高维数据分类模型时,往往存在网络负荷大,运算复杂度高等问题.本文首先基于非线性PCA(NPCA)对高维样本数据进行降维,然后以提取到的非线性特征作为DBN的网络输入,构建了一类含非线性特征提取预处理机制的DBN分类器.并从信息熵理论的角度出发,证明了所提改进DBN分类器在网络结构和算法复杂度方面的优势.通过一个PM2.5浓度预测与影响因素诊断实例,验证了所提改进DBN在一类分类和影响因素诊断问题中的应用,并与传统的分类器进行对比,显示了所提方法在建模精度及收敛速度上的优势.
    1)  本文责任编委 刘艳军
  • 图  1  三层输入训练神经网络结构图

    Fig.  1  An input training neural network structure with three layers

    图  2  深度置信网的结构

    Fig.  2  The structure of DBN

    图  3  NPCA-DBN模型分类与诊断结构图

    Fig.  3  The classification and diagnosis model with NPCA-DBN

    图  4  PM2.5预测诊断流程图

    Fig.  4  The flow chart of PM2.5 concentration$'$s prediction and diagnosis

    图  5  不同结构预测的平均相对误差

    Fig.  5  The classification and diagnosis model with NPCA-DBN

    图  6  华电二区的预测效果对比图

    Fig.  6  The comparison in the second area of Huadian with different structures

    图  7  不同结构预测的平均相对误差

    Fig.  7  The MRE of different structures

    图  8  华电二区超限数据贡献图

    Fig.  8  The contribution chart of the overrun data in the second area of Huadian

    表  1  网络结构对比

    Table  1  The comparison of the network structure

    模型 结构 隐含层节点数 总节点数 算法总空间复杂度
    NPCA-DBN (6-10-10) + (6-10-6-6-1) 32 55 $6\times 10\times 10+6\times 10\times 6\times 6\times 1$
    DBN 10-12-10-10-1 32 43 $10\times 12\times 10\times 10$
    下载: 导出CSV

    表  2  建模精度与收敛速度对比

    Table  2  The comparison of the network structure

    监测点 指标 NPCA-DBN NPCA-ANN NPCA-SVM NPCA-PLS DBN ANN SVM PLS
    地表 MRE ($\times10^{-2}$) 13.32 22.21 13.14 26.82 17.92 23.40 12.19 24.54
    水厂 训练时间(s) 44 16 180 46 89 33 349 94
    华电 MRE ($\times10^{-2}$) 14.57 25.15 13.04 29.48 17.01 24.16 10.22 27.16
    二区 训练时间(s) 37 12 211 49 90 38 401 103
    胶片 MRE ($\times10^{-2}$) 10.51 26.49 11.09 33.16 12.77 23.32 12.73 30.06
    训练时间(s) 42 16 198 57 108 42 399 108
    下载: 导出CSV

    表  3  PM2.5浓度级别

    Table  3  The PM2.5 concentration level

    浓度范围(${\rm \mu g/m^3}$) 级别 优良级别
    0$\, \sim\, $50 1级
    50$\, \sim\, $100 2级
    101$\, \sim\, $150 3级 轻度污染
    151$\, \sim\, $200 4级 中度污染
    201$\, \sim\, $ 5级 重度污染
    下载: 导出CSV
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  • 收稿日期:  2016-01-21
  • 录用日期:  2016-12-18
  • 刊出日期:  2018-02-20

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