An Intelligent Integrated Predictive Method Based on Gas Temperature Profile for Burn-through Point
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摘要: 铅锌密闭鼓风烧结过程具有强非线性、时变和时滞等特性. 本文在分析过程热状态的基础上, 通过研究烧结机烟气温度梯度分布, 建立烟气温度分布烧穿点软测量判断模型, 结合烧穿点的动态特性, 运用智能集成建模的思想, 提出采用神经网络方法建立工艺参数预测模型, 采用灰色理论建立烟气温度分布时间序列预测模型, 通过模糊组合器综合与协调两个模型来预测烧穿点位置. 实际运行结果表明, 智能集成预测方法为铅锌烧结过程烧穿点的判断和预测提供了一种可行、有效的解决思路, 为实现过程的状态优化奠定了基础.Abstract: The features of the lead-zinc imperial sintering process include strong nonlinearity, time variance, large time delay, and so on. Based on an analysis of heat state, the gas temperature profile for the sintering apparatus was investigated; a soft-sensor model of the burn-through point (BTP) was developed. Technological-parameter-based and time-sequence-based predictive models that take the dynamic features of the BTP into account were established; they were designed using neural networks and grey theory, respectively. Then, based on the concept of intelligent integration, the synthesis and coordination of these two models was implemented through a fuzzy classifier. The results of actual runs show that intelligent integration provides a practical and effective way of predicting the BTP, which, in turn, serves as a basis for implementing state optimization in the lead-zinc sintering process.
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