在预测领域中应用模糊控制的研究
Application Research of Fuzzy Control in Solving Forecast Problems
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摘要: 预测问题在科学技术领域中有着广泛的应用背景.提出了将基于误差反馈和专家经 验的闭环模糊控制引入预测系统,用于修正预测输出、提高预测精度和鲁棒性的设想.以电力 负荷预测为背景,进行了一系列实验研究,结果证明在预测领域中应用模糊控制是有效的,从 而为其它控制方法在预测领域的应用研究开辟了前景.Abstract: This paper puts forward the idea of using close-loop fuzzy control based on error feedback and expert experience to adjust output of forecasting systems and raise their accuracy and robust capability. A series of experiments of this kind of forecasting system are accomplished for electric power load forecasting problem. They demonstrate the efectiveness of fuzzy control in forecast problems. This research lays a foundation for applications of other control approaches in the forecast area.
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