一类动态需求问题的预测方法
The Forecast Method of a Dynamic Demand Problem
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摘要: 本文将某类耐用消费品的消费过程视为一个带有边界控制的DPS,应用DPS理论,结合 人口增长规律、人口政策及消费现状,提出了一种新的需求预测方法,并给出一个实例.
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关键词:
- 分布参数系统(DPS) /
- 需求函数 /
- 需求预测
Abstract: In this paper, the consumption process of a kind of durable goods G is regarded as a DPS with boundary input functions. For this kind of goods G, the conception of market demand function and calculation method is discussed with the theory of DPS in terms of the law of population growth, the policy of population and the consumed state of G. Finally, an application example is given.-
Key words:
- Distributed parameter system(DPS) /
- demand function /
- demand forecast
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